Julie Smith quoted in CNN article, “Covid-19’s Threat to European Unity”

"'The debates over corona bonds remain fierce, with some countries pushing for these grants (instead of loans) and others, like Germany, strongly opposing the idea,' Julie Smith, senior adviser to the president of the German Marshall Fund and director of their Asia program, told me. "Smith spent 2018 in Germany focused on German foreign policy and relations with Asia. "'Either way, if Germany folds and gives in or if it holds steady and refuses, anti-EU sentiment will likely rise. If German [...]

2020-05-15T10:22:17-04:00May 7, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Puneet Talwar writes with Anubhav Gupta in Foreign Affairs: “Modi’s Coronavirus Test”

"The novel coronavirus is an enormous test for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Not only must his government contain the spread of the virus in one of the densest, most populous countries in the world but it must prevent social-distancing measures from pushing India’s flagging economy over the cliff into free fall. Even before the pandemic, the country was struggling with slow growth, high unemployment, and widening social divisions. Now, the coronavirus is exacerbating all three problems—risking a perfect storm of [...]

2020-05-12T14:17:05-04:00May 4, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Tony Blinked interviewed on PBS NewsHour, “Blame and Counter-Charges: The U.S.-China Rhetorical War Over COVID-19”

"The government of China, has to be held accountable for failing to provide information in a timely fashion, failing to give access to international inspectors to get to the bottom of what happened. "But the other half of the story is this. Unfortunately, tragically, the Trump administration took down or undermined a lot of defenses that previous administrations had put in place to be able to warn of a pandemic, including a pandemic emerging from China..." Read the full transcript here: [...]

2020-05-12T14:46:01-04:00May 4, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Dan Shapiro quoted in Haaretz article, “Netanyahu Is ‘Confident’ in His Annexation Plan. Experts Outline His Next Steps”

"Netanyahu may want to rush through a vote on the annexation plan ahead of the November U.S. presidential election. But this mapping committee could throw him off schedule, notes former U.S. ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro. "'Leaving aside technical aspects, like whether the work can even be done right now because of the coronavirus restrictions, the mapping committee is likely to encounter a dynamic in which the leaders of the settlement communities will lobby for expanded definitions of their boundaries, and [...]

2020-05-12T14:38:14-04:00May 4, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Danny Russel quoted in the Wall Street Journal article, “Biden Aims to Out-Tough Trump on China While Invoking His Obama Experience”

"In 2011 in Beijing, when the U.S. was still dealing with the aftermath of the financial crisis, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told Mr. Biden, 'I’m sorry your economy is in such terrible shape,' according to Danny Russel, then the top White House adviser on Asia, who witnessed the exchange. Mr. Wen questioned whether Beijing’s multibillion-dollar investment in U.S. Treasury bills was safe. "The vice president replied that if China wanted to sell, 'please go ahead,' Mr. Russel recalled. More than 90% [...]

2020-05-12T14:47:39-04:00May 2, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Danny Russel quoted in The New York Times article, “Kim Jong-un Is Back. What Happens When He’s Really Gone?”

​"'The combination of loose nukes and political conflict is a nightmare scenario for the world,' said Danny Russel, vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute, who dealt with North Korea as a National Security Council director at the White House and an assistant secretary of state for Asia. ​'Political turmoil could lead a faction or a commander to brandish or — God forbid — launch a nuclear-armed missile.' "Mr. Russel said that in the event of a leadership struggle, Washington’s [...]

2020-05-12T14:27:44-04:00May 2, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Danny Russel quoted in Nikkei article, “Calls for Virus Payback Against China Mount in Washington”

"'[China sees] Trump's alienation of American allies, his kind of obsession with trade numbers, and ignorance of broader economic... and new technology issues, his vulnerability to flattery, and so on,' the former Obama administration official said. 'You know, they see that as creating an unparalleled opportunity, and admittedly that price they have paid is a lot of headaches—a lot of tariffs, a lot of economic pressure and so on.' "'If Trump goes ahead with retaliatory moves, 'Xi Jinping will be absolutely [...]

2020-05-12T14:31:46-04:00May 2, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Danny Russel quoted in The New York Times article, “Kim Jong-un Resurfaces, State Media Says, After Weeks of Health Rumors”

"The weeks of rumors showed how 'unprepared' the outside world remains 'for a potential political crisis caused by something like the sudden, unexpected death of the dictator in a country bristling with dozens of nuclear weapons,' said Danny Russel, vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute. "'We got a glimpse of the danger of loose nukes and worse if the death of Kim Jong-un had unleashed a destabilizing power struggle' in the North, where Mr. Kim had no designated adult [...]

2020-05-12T14:26:44-04:00May 1, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|

Danny Russel quoted in Reuters article, “After Rumours About Health, North Korea State Media Report Kim Jong Un Appearance”

"The former top U.S. diplomat for East Asia, Daniel Russel, said the pieces of the puzzle of Kim’s disappearance would take time to assemble. "They rumours had, however, served to focus attention on North Korea’s succession plan, which 'in a monarchical and cult-like dictatorship is filled with risk, and the absence of a designated adult heir compounds that risk many times over,' he said..." Read the full article here: Full Article

2020-05-12T14:37:07-04:00May 1, 2020|Geopolitical Perspectives|
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